Monday, May 18, 2026

Elimination Ruminations: Lakers, Timberwolves, Pistons

LOS ANGELES LAKERS (4-6)

LAL put up a gutsy effort, especially in Game 6, but I'm glad this series didn't drag on any longer than it had to.  And the funny thing is, out of every team in the NBA, it can said that they're facing the biggest dilemma heading into the offseason.

It's easy to say ignore Lebron and use that money to acquire another star or a couple of quality players.  That makes sense, on the surface and is the approach I advocated coming into this season.

You can more or less take for granted that, if the Lakers do make the postseason, Luka "the Hamstring" Doncic will miss at least some games.  So part ways with Lebron and fortify the roster, with at least a couple of players just to be on the safe side, who can not only score but also play defense.  I mean, you can go for a single superstar with that money, but health across the board is pretty fragile these days.

But the reason this is a dilemma, and why doing so would be sorta a slap to the face of Lebron, is because he, more than anyone else on the roster (taking nothing away from Reaves or Hachimura), held the team down this postseason.  And say for instance, you replace LBJ with Giannis.  Would that really make a difference, championship-wise, given this roster?

I've been saying for years that Lebron needs to retire, but after this postseason, I kinda sorta feel differently.  Just the fact he's all old and shit makes anything he does more exciting.

But if intends to really chase another championship, he needs to go to a better team than LAL, which is funny thing to say, that they sorta need LBJ more than he needs them.  But what's obvious, considering that he's now been reduced solely to a scorer and facilitator, is ideally James should be running a second unit and rather than starting.  And when I think of a team that's a contender that unquestionably needs an offensive specialist while simultaneously mitigating that player's defensive deficiencies, I think the Pistons most fit the bill, so long as they don't lose the likes of Duran and Thompson.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (6-6)

Yes, I do think it was insulting - to his teammates, the coaching staff and Minnesota's braintrust at large - that Edwards went and started congratulating the Spurs, in front of the entire world, with almost a quarter left in Game 6, even though the contest - embarrassingly for hte Wolves - was already decided by that point.  That's how it is sometimes when you have a teammate who knows or feels he's better than everyone else.  But it isn't a good look, and Anthony needs to watch out, because likability matters.  And it isn't like he hasn't let his team down in the playoffs before, nor was his most recent outing particularly jordanesque.  The way I interpreted that move was like he was advertising himself to the Spurs, but it ain't like they need him.

The further funny thing is that, the Timberwolves would probably be better off without Edwards and rather using his salary to score a couple of additional above-average players, the likes of Naz Reid or Jaden McDaniels.  Remember that they were able to finish off the Nuggets without Ant.

But I mean, I'm not trying to put it all on Edwards neither, because Randle and more surprisingly Gobert totally disappeared in Game 6.  Even the little guys on San Antonio's roster were basically dunking at all.

Randle and Gobert, given their size, are the two Minny players you would think would be most responsible for trying to defend Wemby.  Maybe Rudy was just tired by Game 6.  Every year, you hear people questioning his qualifications.  And every year, even though his team inevitably fails, he proves naysayers wrong, to an extent.  Like he isn't someone you can just up and replace, especially now that scorers are starting to attack the interior again.

But as for Julius, man.  I've been an advocate of his years for years, feeling that the Knicks devalued him for instance.  But he didn't really do his standing well with this outing.  He's one of those types players, in my opinion, who's really big but fails to use his size to his advantage. 

DETROIT PISTONS

The Pistons aren't what you would call a superteam.  Yet they secured the number one seed over squads like the Knicks and took the Cavs, who have a superior roster, to seven games.  This iteration reminds me of that 2004 Detroit squad who won a championship, in that they weren't the most talented either, though they obviously had some type of magic that these current guys have yet to claim.

It's obvious that these guys need more scoring, but in the form of who and at what cost?  Maybe they shoulda kept Ivey around?  Who did they trade him for anyway?  Oh, a couple of dudes that they didn't even play.

For most of the playoffs, Tobias Harris was sporting like an allstar and seemed to be poise to finally shake the pariah, scapegoat reputation he gained in Philly.  With the Sixers, almost every year when they flunk there's a scapegoat, with Embiid being exempt, though this time they got it right sacking Morey, if he was actually responsible for signing PG13 for that much money.

That said, as it currently stands I'm pushing the idea of Lebron going to Detroit.  Remember that you heard it here first. 

Monday, May 11, 2026

2026 Elimination Ruminations: Rockets, Sixers

HOUSTON ROCKET (2-4)

Somehow, I totally forgot to write about the Rockets when they got eliminated a week ago.  So I'm sitting here watching Thunder vs. Lakers and wondering how a team as mediocre as LAL made it all the way to the Second Round, how they're absolutely no match for their opponent.  And that's when I remembered the Rockets.

The Lakers, as far as I know, are the luckiest team in NBA history.  They exceeded most peoples' expectations this past season, but once Luka went down, I think everyone knew that was pretty much it. 

But let's say, if I were writing like a movie script for the 2026 NBA Playoffs that I wanted to make money yet also be believable, even if I knew LAL wouldn't make it to the end, I wouldn't want them getting eliminated in the First Round.  In other words, they really got lucky with that Durant injury, that seemingly popped out of nowhere and kept him out the entire round.

I won't go as far as saying that adding Durant but losing Fred "Care Bear" VanVleet (to injury) is one step forward, two steps backward.  But it doesn't make much difference anyway when both of them can't play.  So it's like this postseason's iteration of the Rockets was actually worst than the team they fielded last year with no Kevin, but at least then they had Fred. 

Without doing any actual research, I think it's safe to presume that Durant and VanVleet are the oldest players on the roster.  Dudes like Sengun, Thompson and even Smith Jr. are like from whole 'nother generation as far as the NBA is concerned.  That's something to consider, going into next year, that both of the scorers this team depends on were injured or and unable to help the team this postseason, and generally speaking, age doesn't go in reverse.

So yes, I do advocate Houston going out and looking for younger scorers rather than continuing to depend on the elders.  You know, do the age appropriate thing.  No one wants to see yet another First Round exit.  But since they're already contracted, I doubt if Kevin or Fred are going anywhere.  When making such gambles, putting your championship hopes on an aged Durant for instance, you have to have that dogged, Sixers' mentality of 'if only they're all healthy, then we'll win'.  Oh well.

By the time all is said and done, the Rockets' insistence on fielding these old dudes may result in the younger ones, who actually want to win or when they start demanding more money, bouncing.  I've been advocating for years that a superstar vet like KD needs to go to a young, up-and-coming team instead of always chasing instant championship, but it wasn't supposed to look like this.  If you look back, I'm sure I even said he should go to the Pistons.  But this is what happens when there's too much reliance on a superstar which these days, even with younger ones is not ideal.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (4-7)

The good news is that the Sixers' big 3 was actually healthy for the majority of the postseason.  The bad news is it not really mattering, arguably being a detriment even, when 'healthy', in this context, is a slow Joel Embiid whose defensive presence is, I would argue, even more of a nonfactor than Lebron has become.

Lebron's defensive decline is attributable to mileage + age.  The cause of Joel's is mileage + injuries.  Age, I would argue, can be counteracted more consistently than injury.

So the first question is, why do the Sixers insist on starting and giving major minutes to a hobbled C?  Part of it, as with James, lies in the fact that Embiid is still one of the best players on the team.

But that said, these failures have been going on for years already.  Dig through the blog if you want.  The signs that Philly needs to move on from Joel have been there for a minute.  It's not like a revelation and shit.  Dude didn't start playing basketball 'til he was 16 yet has made more money, in like just a decade, than most people with jobs they hate make in their entire lives.  Dude got a (questionable) MVP Award and an Olympic gold medal, you know, when he played for a stacked Team USA instead of a disadvantaged African squad.  So what else does he want?

If the answer is a championship, then the Sixers' braintrust, as outstanding as they are at times, needs to do better.  For instance, even though he has his moments, it's still not abundantly clear why they signed Paul George for $50+mil/year(!).  PG13 is an exceptional scorer, but he's no spring chicken either, and there's a lot of younger guys who can more or less score just as well (even if not as entertaining in doing so) and are less expensive.  One name that comes to mind off the top of my head is his former teammate, Normal Powell.

So what I foresee with Philly is sorta the same as Houston, though the latter is in a better position, as the former needs to embark on a mini rebuild.  The Rockets have a core of young players, so all they need to do is make a couple of adjustments.  The Sixers meanwhile, their core for the most part, looking to the future, only inarguably consists of Maxey and Edgecombe, which is a helluva combination.  But now, they need to put the types of players around that can complement such an undersized backcourt.  They need some of those strong, versatile, Knicks-like wings - I'm thinking someone like Scottie Barnes, but I know he isn't available.  And if Draymond is forced to move or whatever, he can probably help them a bit also.

Monday, May 4, 2026

2026 Elimination Ruminations: Celtics, Magic, Raptors

BOSTON CELTICS (3-4)

This was a really odd season in Boston.  The Celtics, without Tatum, were supposed to tank or at least be mediocre but instead, as happens sometimes (reference the 1993 Bulls), retained their championship pedigree even without the face of the franchise.  Then Jayson returned sooner than expected.  In hindsight, even though he regained form quickly, that was mistake number one.  The way dudes were playing, you shoulda let them finish the season out as is.  You see how they almost beat the Sixers, at full strength, in Game 7 without Tatum.

And while we're crying over spilt milk, let it also be known that I'm strong advocate of continuity.  Age factors, salaries, injuries, etc., you don't breakup a proven championship-level team prematurely, just because the star of the show is unable to play or whatever, taking for granted that your braintrust will promptly recuperate.  That's akin to quitting, besides betraying fans, and it's like the whole conclusive lesson of The Last Dance.  I'm not saying that still having Holiday, Porzingis and Horford around would have made a difference. But we'll never know, will we?

You can't tell a team that it's better to just play a season out without a star if he misses important segments and then suddenly at the last second, emerges playable.  Squads like the Sixers and Pistons also took such risks, and for them it paid off.

Embiid, hobbled he may be, emerged as the x-factor against Boston.  So I guess the ultimate lesson in all this, as has been the case for seasons (even when they did recently win a championship), is please Celtics, try to acquire a consistent, playable, above-average big.  Why they decided not to play Vucevic in Game 7, who knows?  And I'm not taking anything away from Queta, who's an overachiever.  But it's time to start taking the paint seriously again.  You can't have like rookies and shit running all roughshod over you during the playoffs.

ORLANDO MAGIC (3-4)

I'm not convinced that the Pistons are the better team.  Deeper, yes.  But what I rather believe is that if Franz Wagner remained playable, the Magic would have took it in five or six.  There really isn't much reason, based on this series, to believe otherwise.

Maxing Wagner out was a controversial decision, one of the main reasons (besides the fact he isn't a superstar) being his unpredictable health.  Health-wise, he's like a typical European in the NBA - an exceptional offensive force, but you wouldn't want to overplay (or overpay) him.

I'm also having a hard time understanding Orlando's fascination with Wendell Carter Jr.  I've been saying for year and years, even back when the Warriors were still formidable and everyone was still on this smallball shit, that the Magic needed to upgrade in the post.

Instead, they went out and acquired Bane.  I'm not going lie - that move panned out a lot better than I expected, if you consider barely making the playoffs and taking the number-one seed to seven games in the First Round an accomplishment.  Now, Orlando is just a couple of moves away for real.  They need to add a big who's actually effective and figure out a way to mitigate offensive deficiencies during those inevitable times when Franz can't play.

And ideally, they won't lose anyone in the process of rectifying those woes, as what ultimately did the Magic in against Detroit, more than anything, was lack of depth.  About midway through Game 6, dudes just ran out of steam and never fully regained it, outside of Banchero and his skinnier, less-talented yet still effective clone, Anthony Black.  Games 6 and 7, you could see Orlando came out hot (as usual).  The Pistons really couldn't do shit about it, but the Magic couldn't maintain the pace.

And by the way whatever happened to Jonathan Isaac?  Remember that dude, a defensive specialist?  If he wasn't all banged up, the Magic would've won.

TORONTO RAPTORS (3-4)

As usual, despite their winning ways, the Cavs have failed to instill confidence in their fans.  They're one of the top 5, if not top 3, deepest teams in the NBA.  Yet they struggled to best an opponent with two of its starters missing the entire series.

Let's not forget that besides Ingram, who's a reigning All-Star, Quickley also isn't playable.  So instead, we have dudes starting who I never heard of before, like this cat Shead, proving heroes against one of the most-talented rosters in the league.  This series had sort of that Minnesota vs. Denver quality to it.

Right before Game 7, I stumbled across a video arguing that the Beard is 'the worst-performing superstar in NBA history'.  Until watching that clip, I didn't really know it was that bad.  In Game 7, if you look at the box score, he didn't really fare well at all, as the only reason he got near 20 pts was due to freethrows.

I know this isn't supposed to be about Cleveland, but it hindsight, that Harden trade looks sorta like one step forward, two steps backwards.  I won't go as far as to say that Mitchell is better at the point.  Harden is a lot better at getting his teammates involved.  But like his cohort, Donovan needs, indeed deserves the ball in his hand.  And that's the dilemma - having two deserving, ball dominant points (similar to when Garland was around) - on top of James' tendency to fizzle out.

That said, out of all the teams eliminated in the First Round, I would say that Toronto is the one that least needs a major roster change (outside of maybe acquiring a Giannis or something like that).  Their team is set, but damn those injuries, especially when it comes to the likes of Ingram.